You can't fool all of the people all the time

«Mr Trump’s declining marks are no mystery. He was elected largely on kitchen-table issues and inherited a strong economy dogged by inflation worries. Presidents have few levers to improve the economy in the short term. Yet since his inauguration, Mr Trump has appeared intent on finding the levers that might engineer the most disruption as quickly as possible. The administration’s initial evisceration of the federal workforce, and cuts to aid programmes that benefit farmers, directly affected some of his voters.

Then came the tariff rollercoaster. In the span of two weeks, Mr Trump unveiled a staggering salvo of tariffs on nearly all of America’s trading partners; backtracked on levies over 10% (except on China); carved out an exemption for Chinese-made electronics and seems content to negotiate and improvise day by day. On April 8th the S&P 500 closed 19% lower than its peak in February, before recovering. It is hardly surprising that some of Mr Trump’s supporters have lost confidence. (...)

Mr Trump’s base remains enthusiastic about him. More than 92% of the Republican partisans who voted for him in November still view him favourably. But his re-election was secured by swing voters and infrequent voters, many of whom were disillusioned with the economy under Joe Biden. (...)

Already there are signs of this. The Economist’s analysis of YouGov data shows how these swings are playing out. Among Hispanic respondents, Mr Trump’s net approval is minus-37 percentage points, while among those younger than 30 years of age it is minus-25. Projecting these trends suggests how the very places that delivered Mr Trump his victory are now swinging against him (see chart). Our data suggest Mr Trump has a net negative approval rating in all six swing states he flipped away from Joe Biden in November’s presidential election (Arizona, Nevada, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin).»

Donald Trump’s approval rating is dropping

However, don't think that Democrats are taking advantage of disenchantment with MAGA. This is bad news for a democracy like the US, which was already considered a flawed democracy.

«Confidence in Democratic congressional leadership is at an all-time low of 25%, according to a Gallup poll conducted from April 1-14.

This figure marks a nine-point decline from the previous low of 34% recorded in 2023, according to Gallup.

Republicans hold a higher confidence rating of 39%, which is above their previous low of 24% reached in 2014, according to Gallup's findings.

The drop in confidence among Democrats is attributed to their struggles in countering President Trump's agenda and facing backlash from their party's base, according to Gallup.»

Confidence in Democratic leadership plunges to all-time low: poll.