The new Supreme Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei is the second son of Ali Khamenei, killed in the Israeli attack along with Mojtaba's wife and son. The new leader has a fortune obtained from the clandestine sale of Iranian oil that rivals Trump's, and that's where the similarity ends.
Mojtaba Khamenei served in the armed forces during the Iran-Iraq war, knows the political system inside out, and has strong ties to the Revolutionary Guard. With this past and the hatred that will result from the assassination of three family members, it is predictable that he will do everything to resist the "special operation" hoping that Trump's volatility, the horror of the loss of American lives, and the consequences of a crisis stemming from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the destruction of oil infrastructure in the Persian Gulf will do the rest.
That is why I continue to consider the most likely outcome is that, after a few weeks, Mr TACO (Trump Always Chicken Out) will wait for the first pretext to cower.
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