Continued from (1), (2) and (3)
On Friday, when many votes still needed to be counted, I wrote that to the overwhelming defeat of the Democratic Party we will have to add the embarrassing fact that Kamala Harris had 13 million fewer votes than Joe Biden in 2020. On the other hand, Donald Trump had approximately the same votes as in 2020. Now with 94% of electoral college votes counted, Harris has 71.2 million votes, 10 million less than Biden in 2020, and Trump 75.2, a million more than in 2020. Defeat now appears less overwhelming and the fact less embarrassing.
The following chart is a standardized aggregation removing undecided voters made by Europe Elects from voting intention polls in 32 European countries that were collected during the month of October.
| Europe Elects |
If we divide the 32 countries into two equal groups, half with an intention to vote for Donald Trump less than 30% and the remainder, we find in the first group all countries with democratic regimes and tolerant societies and in the second we find non-democratic regimes, flawed democracies and only a few democratic countries.
This does not mean that Trump supporters appreciate dictatorships, it just means that the man's ideas and above all his style are more attractive to people who do not feel any serious threat to freedom or do not value freedom very much and feel insecure and threatened. Apparently many of them are people influenced by negative partisanship and identify themselves primarily with those they think share the same enemies and fight against the same ideas.
In the next post I will comment on the main policies and measures announced by Trump during the election campaign and their likely consequences.
(To be continued)