27/12/2017

SERVIÇO PÚBLICO: Não é que não soubéssemos, mas é sempre bom confirmar

Gary King, Benjamin Schneer e Ariel White, três investigadores de Harvard, convenceram 33 publicações que vão desde The Nation até à Huffington Post a cooperar durante dois anos e meio, de Outubro de 2014 até Março 2016, publicando simultaneamente histórias sobre um de 11 temas como a raça, a imigração ou emprego. Em seguida, foram analisados nos dias seguintes posts no Tweeter sobre os temas publicados nessas revistas. O paper «How the news media activate public expression and influence national agendas» publicado recentemente na Science reporta as conclusões do estudo. Aqui fica um sumário à laia de teaser:

«Measuring the impact of the media
The active participation of the people is one of the central components of a functioning democracy. King et al. performed a real-world randomized experiment in the United States to understand the causal effect of news stories on increasing public discussion of a specific topic (see the Policy Forum by Gentzkow). Social media posts increased by almost 20% the first day after the publication of news stories on a wide range of topics. Furthermore, the posts were relatively evenly distributed across political affiliation, gender, and region of the United States.

Abstract
We demonstrate that exposure to the news media causes Americans to take public stands on specific issues, join national policy conversations, and express themselves publicly—all key components of democratic politics—more often than they would otherwise. After recruiting 48 mostly small media outlets, we chose groups of these outlets to write and publish articles on subjects we approved, on dates we randomly assigned. We estimated the causal effect on proximal measures, such as website pageviews and Twitter discussion of the articles’ specific subjects, and distal ones, such as national Twitter conversation in broad policy areas. Our intervention increased discussion in each broad policy area by ~62.7% (relative to a day’s volume), accounting for 13,166 additional posts over the treatment week, with similar effects across population subgroups.»

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